A tsunami of opposition votes shakes the government of Alberto Fernández in the primaries held with a pandemic protocol. Like a crisis in chapters, the ruling party received from 18 a bitter news succession. To the foreseeable defeat in the Capital followed an indentation in Cordova, falls in Santa Fe, Chubut, Chaco. It got worse: second place in Santa Cruz, collapse in Between rivers. And the definitive impact of a disaster in the Kirchnerist stronghold of the province of Buenos Aires.

Weakened as ever, after the blow to his image that meant the revelation of the party in Olivos During the 2020 quarantine, Fernández now faces an internal challenge of the first magnitude. The punishment meted out by the electorate is monumental. He loses by more difference than the one he took from Mauricio Macri in the 2019 general elections.

Map: results across the country, in real time

“Elections are won by one point”, they got tired of repeating in the Casa Rosada. They expected a lean result, not a Waterloo. Fernández repeated to anyone who wanted to listen that the PASO would be a plebiscite for his administration. He said it in a defensive spirit. He believed that the victory that the polls marked him – again unable to detect social humor – would give him a shell of power to resist the attempts of his cabinet intervention by Cristina Kirchner and his faithful. He was imprisoned by his desire for independence. With the numbers still moving in the results app, the malicious judgment on the candidate was already taking place Victoria Tolosa PazAn Albertist invention that navigated the campaign with statements as picaresque as they were insubstantial. The libido of Peronism is not for jokes.

He did not stand even in the suburbs, where he won by just 2.7 points.

The celebration that heralded the disaster, in La Plata

The celebration that heralded the disaster, in La Plata

These are hours of turmoil at the peak of power. A siege awaits Fernández. Pure vertigo. The cast changes will not hold up to the generals. Will he be able to hold Santiago Cafiero in the Chief of Cabinet? Pressure on Martin Guzman it will become unbearable. A modest result already suggested hasty economic actions to win votes in November at the expense of public money. How will that impact the negotiation with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)? Science fiction in these hours of Kirchner’s duel.

Together for Change started up in the province

Below 40 percent in the province it was a failure, they admitted until yesterday at the Casa Rosada and at the Instituto Patria. After the scrutiny equator, the list of Victoria Tolosa Paz It scratched 34%, the same number that Cristina Kirchner obtained in her lowest hours as a candidate for a Peronist faction, in 2017. Without Sergio Massa and with Alberto Fernández as campaign manager of Florencio Randazzo. The value of the President as an electoral instrument capable of adding outside of the Kirchnerista fishbowl was definitely in contradiction.

“We know that there are mistakes we have made. Starting tomorrow we are going to work so that in November the Argentines will join us”Said Fernández, with Cristina by his side. She decided to go out to face defeat, as few times before. Without speaking and with an indisputable tension in his face. “Everything is in the air”, trusted a source from the scene of defeat.

By ghost train

Sunday night turned out for Kirchnerism a trip on the ghost train through the Argentine map. One of the most painful scales was Santa Fe. Together for Change they won by 10 points (the radical list that the journalist Carolina Losada heads for the Senate was imposed in the internal opposition). Marcelo lewandowski, governor’s candidate Omar perotti, surpassed the former minister Agustin Rossi in the Peronist primaries.

Córdoba was a bloodletting for the Frente de Todos. Senator Carlos Caserio touched 10 points, 37 away from the sum of the Juntos por el Cambio lists. He was third and with few options to renew the bank. Luis Judge it was imposed by a wide margin to the radical Mario Negri in the opposing battle.

The entire agricultural area turned its back on the Government. Entre Ríos surprised with overwhelming support for the list headed by the former minister Rogelio Frigerio: 51.7% against 29.5% of the Frente de Todos. But the government’s punishment was felt from North to South. Few cases are more symbolic than Santa Cruz, the cradle of Kirchnerism, where Together for Change beat the Frente de Todos by 12 points, affected by the breakdown of the local PJ.

At the other geographic extreme, Peronism lost in Chaco (44% – 35%), Corrientes (59% to 34%) and Jujuy (46% – 28%). In Cuyo, it suffered in Mendoza (lost 43% to 25%) and in San Luis (46% to 37%).

A different Congress

If the Government fails to reverse this trend in the general elections of November 14, his block in the Senate would be reduced to 35 seats, two below the quorum. Today he has a comfortable majority of 41, with which Cristina Kirchner walked at ease for two years. In Deputies, the Frente de Todos would lose the first minority at the hands of Juntos. A project like the reform of the Attorney GeneralKey to Kirchner’s plan to control the Judiciary, he will be mortally wounded. Difficulties await Guzmán in approving the budget, which he must present in the week that begins.

Larreta and Vidal's hug

Larreta and Vidal’s hug

In the other side, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta celebrate a dream night. He was successful in the City with his commitment to Maria Eugenia Vidal and gave the hit in Buenos Aires with the surprising victory against the Frente de Todos, led by the ballot headed by Diego Santilli. Now it is your mission to rebuild the spirit of unity in Together for Change. But the rain of votes helps heal the wounds left by the construction of the lists, with disputed changes of territory and various complaints of foul play.

The opposition looks forward to November. Participation – affected by the pandemic – did not reach 70%. In the last three electoral processes there was a rise in voters in the general elections that always benefited the Pro coalition, the UCR and the Civic Coalition.

Even Macri celebrates what he experiences as a revenge after the very hard fall of 2019. They sought his presence at the end of the campaign and – despite being the target of the official discourse – the coalition that he created six years ago is once again installed as a clear alternative of power. A result like this returns it to the land of those who dream of the Casa Rosada.

Publicado en el diario La Nación

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